Coyote vs. Wild Odds
|Above under||6.5 (-110 / -110)|
|time||8 p.m. Eastern time|
|cross odds BetMGM. Get up to a minute NHL Odds here.|
Minnesota’s chase for a home ice advantage will continue in Tuesday’s first-round playoff game, hosting the Arizona Coyotes, who enter this game after dropping 10 consecutive games.
Arizona is once again playing the record-breaking underdog in this competition. Host Minnesota skates nearly 600 favorites.
Where can we find some value in hockey with a line like this?
Coyote fighting Canadians at the bottom of the NHL
Arizona is running a historically bad season, with the 2016-2017 Avs having a worse year than a full 82-game schedule in the post-lockdown era.
However, coyotes still teeter with the Canadians in last place, which is very fitting for this 2021-22 season. The parity between playoff teams and teams that do not play the supplement has decreased significantly this year.
However, the Coyotes earned a point on Saturday from the Blues in a game that marked one of the most surprising comebacks I’ve ever seen.
The third period increase was highlighted by Bokondji Imama’s first NHL tally, which certainly appears to inspire some energy for a team that certainly doesn’t have much to cheer about.
But in keeping with what we’ve seen for most of this season, Arizona allowed several goals against it, which was the main reason for its significantly higher game totals.
Coyotes’ games averaged 7.09 goals in a huge sample of 25 games, with matches coming in at 13-9-3 during that time.
Oddsmakers have been reluctant to push aggregate numbers to the 7 mark for many teams throughout the season, and the notable rise in league-wide goal-scoring has unsurprisingly hit Coyotes’ goals against totals.
In April, Arizona allowed a league-high 3.85 xGA/60 average, and saw Karel Vejmelka and Harri Sateri score more goals than the expected high mark would suggest.
We should see Vejmelka start here, looking to improve his -20.2 goal saved above the predicted mark and 0.900% over 50 games this season.
Wild On Supply Base
The home ice advantage chase between St. Louis and Minnesota has become a thing, with both teams posting absolutely ridiculous records throughout the final quarter of the season and neither of them making an inch.
The Wild has played to the 19-2-4 mark over the last 25 games, and still hasn’t been able to seal the deal.
Minnesota plays a much more fast paced style than we’re used to seeing them play traditionally this season. The Wild has produced a massive amount of attack over the last nine games, with 4.77 goals per game tag during that time.
The Wild plays good defense too, but this group has clearly become the strongest defensive force with its aggressiveness to lead play in the other direction and create an offensive zone.
This style of play that rivals St. Louis will be a huge part of what makes this series a must-see for hockey, and I’m very eager to see it next week.
This approach has led Wild to a lot of higher-scoring competitions lately, averaging 7.63 goals combined over the last 11 goals.
Possibly starting this season, Cam Talbot has played to -5.1 goal saved above the predicted rating with 0.911% saved throughout the 48 games played this season.
Coyote vs. Wild Peak
Supporting both of this team’s competitions has remained very profitable during the latter part of the season and I think there is a good chance we will see another high-score game on Tuesday in St Paul.
That scoring will likely come from a major offensive tackle from Minnesota, but we’ve seen the Coyotes attack show some tougher efforts lately as well.
I see more value in supporting the game to go past 6.5 in -125 than a big win in the wild, but certainly playing together – or playing wild on their team’s total – might be solid options as well.
The gap between the NHL’s elite teams and the bottom feeders has been as wide this season as we’ve seen in the ages, but I’m still not quite sure if I’m ready to support the -2.5 puckline.
I’d still rather do that than support wolves.
picking More than 6.5-125 (running up to -135)